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Alt 26.07.2010, 21:35   #26
Hasi
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OGK-TGK Kursziele Open Invest

(bin bei OGK1, OGK2 OGK4 und TGK9 dabei)
Angehängte Dateien
Dateityp: pdf OGK-TGK Kursziele Open Invest.pdf (49,5 KB, 32x aufgerufen)
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Alt 06.08.2010, 09:52   #27
Kusoke
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TGK-7 reported RAS revenues for 1H 10 at RUB 28.2bn, 24% above 1H 09. Net income declined by 7.7% y-o-y to RUB
2.4bn.
 Mosenergo reported that in 1H 10, revenue rose 24% y-o-y to RUB 74.0bn, while net income reached RUB 3.4bn, down
46% on 1H 09

Quelle: metropol

Kusoke
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Alt 06.08.2010, 11:29   #28
Hasi
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Zitat:
Zitat von Kusoke


OpenInvest zu Mosenergo:
Mosenergo [BUY; TP¢19] releases 1H10 RAS results;
neutral
Event:
Mosenergo yesterday came out with its 1H10 RAS financial results. The highlights are
summed up in the table below
View:
Revenues shot up 24% y-o-y, amounting to RUB74bn in 1H10. Growth was attributable to
higher electricity prices on the back of a higher share of the liberalized electricity market,
and bigger electricity output. Operating expenses went up 34% to RUB68.5bn, mainly on
the back of higher fuel prices, as fuel costs soared 44% y-o-y. In 2009 natural gas tariffs
were hiked on a quarterly basis, as a result of which fuel costs were significantly lower
in 1H09. Also, due to an abnormally cold winter the company had to buy extra volumes
of fuel at higher prices. This caused Mosenergo’s EBITDA to contract 17% y-o-y in 1H10,
with an EBITDA margin of 14%. 1H10 Revenues and EBITDA amounted to 56% and 52%,
respectively, of our FY IFRS forecast, so we do not see the need to change our model. 1H10
net income dropped 46% y-o-y, although we expect an essential divergence of net income
under IFRS vs. RAS, and await IFRS results, which are expected in August or September.
Valuation:
Mosenergo trades at an EV/installed capacity of $412/kW, vs. the genco average of $262/kW.
We think that the existing premium is appropriate due to the high efficiency of generating assets.
Action:
We view this news as neutral for the stock and await IFRS results.
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Alt 09.08.2010, 13:21   #29
Hasi
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Weekly electricity consumption up 9.4% YoY on the back of scorching weather
Event:
Electricity consumption in Russia during the week from 30 July to 5 August shot up 9.4%
YoY and came in 1.4% higher than the week before. The average price in the European-
Urals price zone of the wholesale electricity market reached RUB1,057/MWh, which is 1.5
times higher YoY and 7.9% above the average level recorded during the previous week.
Similarly, the average price in the Siberian price zone reached RUB550/MWh, up 49% YoY
and 3.9% vs. the prior week. According to Market Council, the main reason for the rise in
electricity prices and higher consumption is the ongoing heat wave in Central Russia.
View:
The latest data support the upward trend of the wholesale electricity prices in Russia, which
continue to beat our expectations: The YTD average price in the Europe-Urals price zone
amounted to RUB866/MWh (RUB487/MWh in the Siberian zone) vs. our FY10 forecast of
RUB814/MWh (RUB490/MWh in Siberia). Although we see an upside risk to our top line
forecasts for gencos, we note that higher electricity output also implies that the companies
need to use more expensive fuel (additional natural gas and coal bought at higher prices,
and fuel oil), which could dent their margins.
Valuation:
Russian thermal generation companies trade at an average EV/installed capacity multiple
of $253/kW vs. the EM peer average of $1,048/kW.
Action:
We regard this news as supportive for the shares of the most fuel-efficient generation
companies: TGK-1, RusHydro, OGK-4, Mosenergo, OGK-1 and OGK-2.
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Alt 07.09.2010, 16:04   #30
Kusoke
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By Anastasia Lyrchikova

MOSCOW, Sept 6 (Reuters) - Russian energy company Gazprom said it planned to combine its numerous electricity holdings under a single entity that it would float on the stock market.

Combining the assets, some of them large electricity providers, would create Russia's second-biggest power producer after state-controlled Rushydro, Renaissance Capital analyst Vladimir Sklyar told Reuters.

The consolidation would be done under GazpromEnergoHolding, Gazprom's power division, the group said on Monday during an investor presentation on its strategy for the electricity assets.

Through its four power-generating companies, Gazprom produces 17 percent of all the electricity in Russia, and it plans to boost their combined generating capacity by 8.8 gigawatts by 2020 at a cost of 365.5 billion roubles ($12.6 billion).

'A united Gazprom could generate synergies -- it would have greater negotiating power over fuel suppliers, reduce administrative costs and could overlook a combined capital expenditure programme,' RenCap's Sklyar said.

FINANCIAL HOLES

After Russia's recent sweeping reforms of the power sector, Gazprom emerged as majority owner of Moscow-based power company Mosenergo and regional power firm TGK-1, which serves St Petersburg, Russia's second-largest city, and the surrounding region.

The company also owns two other power generators, OGK-2 and OGK-6, and has minority stakes in grid companies FSK and MRSK Holding as well as a 8.5 percent shareholding in state-run power trader Inter RAO .

RenCap's Sklyar said an inital public offering (IPO) of the combined shareholdings could be attractive to private investors keen to take advantage of the liberalised wholesale gas market and Mosnergo's new capacity.

'Funds from the IPO would be needed to fill financial holes in the balance sheets at OGK-2 and TGK-1 and meet all capital expenditure obligations before 2015-16,' he said.

Gazprom gave no details about the planned IPO but said GazpromEnergoHolding has chosen consulting companies that would advise on the company's strategy until 2020 and the board should make a strategic decision on the company's plans in December.

In a Reuters interview earlier this year GazpromEnergoHolding chief Denis Fyodorov, said Gazprom planned to swap power assets with investors, including Finland's Fortum .

Gazprom also said on Monday it expected Mosenergo's first-half revenue to grow to 74 billion roubles ($2.42 billion) from 59.7 billion a year earlier.

Mosenergo is 21 percent owned by the city of Moscow.

(Additional reporting by John Bowker; Writing by Lidia Kelly, Editing by Karen Foster)
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